but obama made a crucial mistake. he figured he would do ohio would be his fire wall. ohio and iowa. and if he did a lot of stuff there and a lot of negatives on romney, they couldn't get by that. but what romney's done, they have gone over the fire wall and gone into pennsylvania, where obama's never been on the air. and in the last week, the last week of the election, obama is spenning about $2 million in pennsylvania and romney and his allies are spending $11 million. pennsylvania is going to go for romney. he is 3 points ahead now. those 20 electoral votes will put him over the top, long before we call the 18 in ohio. >> greta: all right. let me ask but ohio. all the polls are neck and neck so they are tied. so tell me why those polls are not to be public believed and why listening to you, we should think you are right in calling ohio? >> because the polls that are out there, for example, the times/cbs poll interviewed 38% democrats and 29% of their sample are republicans. about an 8 or 9-point democratic advantage. now in 2008, there was an 8-point democratic adva